Issue of National Significance: New Zealand's Energy Security 25 Nov 2011
Alan Preston and Marianne Riley
- Minister launches SmartGate in Wellington Travel
- Brownlee Leads Aviation Mission To Shanghai News
- Trams to make a comeback on Auckland’s streets News
- Knowles quits as CEO of KiwiBank Business
- Sludge Report #192: The Naked Budget Columns
- Budget provides $321m for RS&T activities News
- Licensing To Cut Out Cowboy Advisers Migration
- Transpower gets go-ahead for $170m SI upgrade Business
- Government Widens Drought Assistance News
- Young People Take Over Parliament News
New Zealand’s energy security is an issue the public have the right to hear debated in the run up to the election. It reveals how vulnerable we are because of our dependency on oil and how this current National Government is withholding crucial information so they may continue their unsustainable approach to New Zealand's transport infrastructure. How is this honest or transparent?
The money NZ spends on importing oil has risen 22% this year to over $21 million per day, $7.7billion for the 2010 year,and while the International Energy Agency is warning us to reduce our vulnerability to what are going to become increasingly expensive post 2006 peak oil prices, the National Government is diverting funding from social, health, education and welfare programs, at the same time committing more than $11billion on Roads of ' National' Significance' and threatening to close another 5 of our regional railway lines.
In May of this year the International Energy Agency (IEA), an historically conservative organisation, revised their earlier forecast that peak oil was not due to occur until sometime after 2030, following a study of 800 of the world's oil fields. They are now saying that they believe the peak in conventional oil production actually occurred in 2006 and that unconventional sources (natural gas and tar sands) are extremely unlikely to make up the shortfall because of growing demand from China and India, concluding that 'the age of cheap oil is over' (Radio New Zealand National's Nine To Noon Program on the 25th of May 2011 with the International Energy Agency's Chief Economist , Fatih Birol). The IEA go on to warn that governments around the world urgently need to reduce their vulnerability to increasing fossil fuel prices. It is prudent to note at this point that as a member nation of the IEA New Zealand pays for their advice.
In the context of the above revelations, paying attention to and acting upon New Zealand's dependence on oil is imperative. Early in their first, and current, term in office the National Government was presented with the 2009 Ministerial Report on Oil Prices and Resilience in the Transport Sector which outlined some of the vulnerabilities that New Zealand faces, vulnerabilities that are further intensified by the IEA's latest findings. The National Government appears to not only ignore the agency's warnings, but has sought to ignore and indeed conceal critically relevant information.
The above Ministerial Report was one of at least two significant documents that were only made public after use of the Official Information Act forced their release. The other, the Bolland Report, the Ministry of Transport commissioned in 2010 to provide independant advice on the costs and benefits of rail vs road for freight transport. The report found in favour of rail. This finding is consistent with the IEA's clear indication that more sustainable approaches to transport must be pursued. Why then is this government intent on rationalising New Zealand's rail network in their KiwiRail Turnaround plan - which includes the 'mothballing' of 5 regional railway lines? Such action only serves to increase our vulnerability to oil while concurrently decreasing our resilience.
Equally alarming is this National Government's focus on building roads, and in particular the 'Roads of National Significance' (RoNS) projects. If it is in the country's, not to mention the planet's, best interest to reduce oil dependency, why is the government embarking on such major road building initiatives while systematically dismantling the rail network?
This question becomes even more significant when set alongside the SAHA Roads of National Significance: Economic Assessments Review which identified that at least three of the seven projects assessed prove economically non-viable (that is with BCRs of less than 1). The report also warned against putting too much weight on the incorporation of Wider Economic Benefits (WEBs) as their use is still in its infancy and to some degree contentious. This report was not released for public scrutiny.
What was released to the public was the SAHA Summary Report. This report appears to be a reworking of the original with what can only be described as manipulative changes to the data, including placing unwarranted emphasis on the WEBs despite the above caveats.
Mike Pickford, Independent Economic Researcher and former Chief Economist at the New Zealand Commerce Commission has reviewed both the 'First' and 'Second' SAHA reports . His findings point to inconsistencies both within the original report and between the two reports, as well as highlighting the unconventional and questionable practice of assessing the RoNS program as a whole 'portfolio' as opposed to the more appropriate approach of assessing each project on its own merits. It is this 'amalgamation' process that allows the disguising of the negative returns of some of the projects.
There seems little doubt that taxpayers are being sold a misrepresentation of the facts in order to validate the current National Government's uneconomic and unsustainable approach to transport infrastructure. The question then has to be 'who stands to benefit?'
(Save Our Rail Northland)
8 Feb 2017 Financial
7 Feb 2017 The Government's 2017 Budget will be delivered on Thursday 25 May, and will be centred on providing opportunities for all... more
8 Feb 2017 Business News
8 Feb 2017 A full cost-benefit analysis on Debt-to-Income (DTI) limits and public consultation will be conducted by the Reserve Bank... more
21 Nov 2016 Lifestyle
Emirates Team New Zealand EMIRATES TEAM NEW ZEALAND CLOSES IN 3rd POSITION THE LOUIS VUITTON AMERICA’S CUP WORLD SERIES
14 Nov 2016 Property
Article - BusinessDesk Monday 14 November 2016 10:28 AM NZ house prices gain 11% in October, driven by sales of higher value homes By... more
11 Nov 2016 Property
Article - BusinessDesk Thursday 10 November 2016 04:04 PM RBNZ sees pressures building in Auckland construction sector By Paul ... more
8 Feb 2017 Migration
7 Feb 2017 Immigration Minister Michael Woodhouse welcomes a report showing the vast majority of employers who take on seasonal... more
6 Feb 2017 NZ Tourism
8 Feb 2017 Does New Zealand celebrate halloween? Is Auckland a dangerous town- these are some of the subjects visitors Google... more
6 Feb 2017 Netball
6 Feb 2017 The Silver Ferns finished runners-up in the Netball Quad Series after completing a well-crafted 70-39 win over the SPAR... more
3 Feb 2017 Netball
The Silver Ferns completed a dominant outing to post a 61-37 win against the England Roses in their second match of the 2017 Netball... more
11 Nov 2016 Opinion
Column - Gordon Campbell Gordon Campbell on the Gareth Morgan crusade First published on Werewolf more
10 Nov 2016 Opinion
Column - Gordon Campbell Gordon Campbell on the US election outcome more
8 Feb 2017 Appointments
7 Feb 2017 Finance Minister Steven Joyce will appoint current Deputy Reserve Bank Governor Grant Spencer as the Acting Governor of... more
1 Feb 2017 Appointments
30 January 2017 Health Minister Jonathan Coleman has today appointed temporary Chairs to the boards of Canterbury and South... more
1 Feb 2017 Recruitment
1 Feb 2017 Tertiary Education, Skills and Employment Minister Paul Goldsmith has welcomed the record number of New Zealanders now in... more
8 Dec 2016 Recruitment
Hon. Paula Bennett, Hon. Michael Woodhouse, Hon. Louise Upston 24 November, 2016 The Government will update the Equa... more