NZ dollar declines as US unemployment, Euro elections loom   4 May 2012

Article - BusinessDesk

NZ dollar declines as US unemployment, Euro elections loom

By Paul McBeth

May 4 (BusinessDesk) - The New Zealand dollar is poised for a 2.7 percent decline over the week as investors prepare for US jobs figures and general elections in France and Germany over the weekend.

The kiwi fell to 80.01 US cents at 5pm from 82.21 cents last week. It's little changed from 79.91 cents at 8am and down from 80.58 cents yesterday. The trade-weighted index fell to 71.32 from 71.79 yesterday, and is poised for a 2 percent weekly decline.

Westpac Bank economists expect the kiwi to fall to 78 US cents after an unexpectedly high unemployment rate of 6.7 percent prompted traders to quit the kiwi, which pushed it out of a 2 US cents trading band that it had been stuck in for almost nine weeks.

Investors are waiting on non-farm payrolls data on Friday in the US, which are expected to show the world's biggest economy added 160,000 jobs last month. If it comes in below forecasts, traders will probably sell higher-yielding assets such as equities and the kiwi dollar.

If payrolls disappoints, "it's all go for equities and the kiwi - whichever way equities go" dictates direction for the New Zealand dollar, said Imre Speizer, market strategist at Westpac Banking. "We have a 78 US cents target" for the kiwi until at least June and maybe into September, he said.

Analysts will also be looking at the outcome of the French and Greek general elections this weekend, with both nations' governments important to shore up the Euro-zone's stability. Greece agreed to major austerity measures to secure a bail-out by its Euro-zone partners and the International Monetary Fund, while France is the second-biggest economy in the continent.

Speizer said the French election is probably the more important of the two, because if it's "not going to see eye-to-eye with Berlin, it will impact on the Euro-zone as a whole."

The minutes from this week's Reserve Bank of Australia meeting showed a slower growth track of 3 percent for the year, and a more benign inflation outlook. The central bank unexpectedly cut the target cash rate half a percentage point to 3.75 percent on Tuesday.

The kiwi fell to 77.99 Australian cents from 78.19 cents yesterday, and was little changed at 64.66 yen from 65.65 yesterday. It fell to 60.83 euro cents from 61.33 cents yesterday, and declined to 49.39 pence from 49.81 pence.

(BusinessDesk)

Add a comment

Bookmark and Share

News

Customs makes record drug seizures

1 Mar 2017 News
28 Feb 2017 Customs Minister Nicky Wagner is today congratulating Customs on a record number of drug seizures in 2016. “Customs... more

Victoria Square restoration underway

1 Mar 2017 Canterbury Earthquake
28 February 2017 The restoration of earthquake-damaged Victoria Square is now underway, Associate Minister supporting Greater... more

Business

Positive step forward for pay equity

1 Mar 2017 Business News
28 Feb 2017 State Services Minister Paula Bennett has welcomed an agreement with unions which will see the Government’s new pay... more

New Zealand companies impress at Dubai tradeshow

1 Mar 2017 Business News
1 March 2017 Minister for Primary Industries Nathan Guy has attended the world’s largest food tradeshow in Dubai today, as... more

Living

3rd Position, Louis Vuitton America’s Cup World Series

21 Nov 2016 Lifestyle
Emirates Team New Zealand EMIRATES TEAM NEW ZEALAND CLOSES IN 3rd POSITION THE LOUIS VUITTON AMERICA’S CUP WORLD SERIES more

Arts Foundation Award recipients for 2016

14 Nov 2016 Lifestyle
The Arts Foundation Next generation of internationally acclaimed talent among the Arts Foundation Award recipients for 2016Under ... more

Property

NZ house prices gain 11% in October

14 Nov 2016 Property
Article - BusinessDesk Monday 14 November 2016 10:28 AM NZ house prices gain 11% in October, driven by sales of higher value homes By... more

RBNZ sees pressures building in Auckland construction sector

11 Nov 2016 Property By Paul McBeth
Article - BusinessDesk Thursday 10 November 2016 04:04 PM RBNZ sees pressures building in Auckland construction sector By Paul ... more

Migration

Recognised Seasonal Employers employ more Kiwis

8 Feb 2017 Migration
7 Feb 2017 Immigration Minister Michael Woodhouse welcomes a report showing the vast majority of employers who take on seasonal... more

Good progress on investment attraction strategy

8 Dec 2016 Migration
Economic Development Minister Steven Joyce has welcomed news that New Zealand is attracting a higher level of quality international... more

Travel

Weirdest things visitors Google before coming

6 Feb 2017 NZ Tourism
8 Feb 2017 Does New Zealand celebrate halloween?  Is Auckland a dangerous town- these are some of the subjects visitors Google... more

New campaign to get more Aussies to Northland

30 Jan 2017 Travel & Tourism
30 January 2017 A new marketing campaign starting this week to attract Australians to Northland is an excellent approach to... more

Sport

VALE: Tania Dalton 1971-2017

1 Mar 2017 Netball
VALE: Tania Dalton 1971-2017 March 1, 2017   The Netball community is deeply saddened to hear of the passing of Silver Fern... more

Silver Ferns wrap up Quad Series with big win

6 Feb 2017 Netball
6 Feb 2017 The Silver Ferns finished runners-up in the Netball Quad Series after completing a well-crafted 70-39 win over the SPAR... more

Columns

Gordon Campbell on the Gareth Morgan crusade

11 Nov 2016 Opinion
Column - Gordon Campbell   Gordon Campbell on the Gareth Morgan crusade First published on Werewolf more

Gordon Campbell on the US election outcome

10 Nov 2016 Opinion
Column - Gordon Campbell   Gordon Campbell on the US election outcome more

Kiwi Success

Spencer to be Acting Governor of Reserve Bank

8 Feb 2017 Appointments
7 Feb 2017 Finance Minister Steven Joyce will appoint current Deputy Reserve Bank Governor Grant Spencer as the Acting Governor of... more

Temporary Chairs appointed to Canterbury and South Canterbury DHB

1 Feb 2017 Appointments
30 January 2017 Health Minister Jonathan Coleman has today appointed temporary Chairs to the boards of Canterbury and South... more

Recruitment

New employment resource for young people

1 Mar 2017 Recruitment
28 Feb 2017 Tertiary Education, Skills and Employment Minister Paul Goldsmith and Associate Education Minister Louise Upston have... more

Record number of people in employment

1 Feb 2017 Recruitment
1 Feb 2017 Tertiary Education, Skills and Employment Minister Paul Goldsmith has welcomed the record number of New Zealanders now in... more

s